88419 is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 88419 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 88419, ~11% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 88419 compares
88419 runs about 68 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 88419 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 88419. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 39 points.
Why 88419 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 88419, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
88419 votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 88419 runs about 68 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 88419 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 1%, below 98% of zip codes).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 88419, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 88419 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 88419 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in 88419 report food insecurity, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.