89015 is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 89015 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 89015, ~28% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 89015 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 89015 leans more Republican than 26 of 29 neighbors.
Politically, 89015 sits close to the rest of Nevada.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 89015. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 32 points.
Why 89015 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 89015. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 89015, NV sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 89015 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 89015 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in 89015 rent, above 85% of zip codes. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in 89015 have more than one occupant per room, above 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.