89031 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 56% of adults in 89031 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 89031, ~32% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 89031 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 89031 leans more Democratic than 22 of 42 neighbors.
89031 runs about 19 points more Democratic than Nevada as a whole. Nevada leans Republican overall, while 89031 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 89031. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 89031 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 89031, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 89031 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in 89031 have never been married, above 82% of zip codes. 89031 runs against the grain of Nevada, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 89031, NV sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 89031 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 89031 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.