89131 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 89131 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 89131, ~34% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 89131 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 89131 leans more Republican than 34 of 35 neighbors.
89131 runs about 6 points more Republican than Nevada as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 89131. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+18) and the southwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 89131 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 89131, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
89131 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 89%, far above the Nevada average of 44%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in 89131 are family households, above 85% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 89131, NV sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 89131 looks the way it does
Turnout in 89131 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.