85326 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 65% of adults in 85326 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85326, ~29% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85326 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85326 leans more Republican than 5 of 9 neighbors.
85326 runs about 7 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85326. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 38 points.
Why 85326 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85326, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
85326 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 60%, well above the Arizona average of 39%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in 85326 are family households, above 89% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 85326, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 85326 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85326 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.