92782 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 66% of adults in 92782 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92782, ~37% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92782 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92782 leans more Democratic than 51 of 75 neighbors.
92782 runs about 9 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 92782. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the north side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 92782 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92782, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 66% of adults in 92782 hold a bachelor's degree, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 92782 sits in the top fifth on density (about 96%, above 92% of zip codes).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 92782, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 92782 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 92782 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 92782 have completed high school, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.