95974 is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 95974 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95974, ~14% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95974 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95974 leans more Republican than 7 of 8 neighbors.
95974 runs about 77 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 95974 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 95974 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95974, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
95974 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 95974 runs about 77 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 95974, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 95974 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in 95974 have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.