96146 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 96146 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96146, ~52% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96146 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96146 leans more Democratic than 11 of 12 neighbors.
96146 runs about 27 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why 96146 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96146, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 62% of adults in 96146 hold a bachelor's degree, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 96146, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 96146 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 96146 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 96146 have completed high school, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.