96754 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 96754 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96754, ~32% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96754 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96754 is the least Democratic-leaning.
96754 runs about 13 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Why 96754 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96754, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in 96754 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 30%).
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 96754, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 96754 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 10% of homes in 96754 have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of zip codes. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 96754 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.