96789 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 96789 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96789, ~34% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96789 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96789 leans more Democratic than 12 of 22 neighbors.
96789 runs about 7 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96789. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 10 points.
Why 96789 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96789, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 45% of adults in 96789 hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a high frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a lower rate; 96789, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in 96789 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 5% of homes in 96789 have more than one occupant per room, above 86% of zip codes. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 96789 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.