96826 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 96826 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96826, ~27% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96826 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96826 leans more Democratic than 18 of 20 neighbors.
96826 runs about 10 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96826. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+28), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 96826 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96826, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 40% of adults in 96826 hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in 96826 have never been married, above 91% of zip codes.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 96826, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 96826 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 65% of households in 96826 rent, about 40 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 10% of homes in 96826 have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.