96814 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 96814 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96814, ~27% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96814 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96814 leans more Democratic than 15 of 20 neighbors.
96814 runs about 7 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96814. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+36) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+23), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 96814 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96814, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 48% of adults in 96814 hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in 96814 have never been married, above 84% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 96814, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 96814 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 54% of households in 96814 rent, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 11% of homes in 96814 have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.