96822 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 96822 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96822, ~34% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96822 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 96822 is the most Democratic-leaning.
96822 runs about 16 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96822. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+48) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+35), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 96822 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96822, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in 96822 hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in 96822 have never been married, above 90% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 96822, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 96822 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 46% of households in 96822 rent, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 96822 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in 96822 have more than one occupant per room, above 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.