97842 leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 76% of adults in 97842 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 97842, ~22% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 97842 compares
97842 runs about 56 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97842 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 97842 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 97842, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
97842 votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97842 runs about 56 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 97842 sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of zip codes).
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 97842, OR does.
Why turnout in 97842 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 97842 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.