Alexandria Bay leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Alexandria Bay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Alexandria Bay, ~33% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Alexandria Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Alexandria Bay leans more Republican than 5 of 49 neighbors.
Alexandria Bay runs about 26 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Alexandria Bay is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Alexandria Bay. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Alexandria Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Alexandria Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Alexandria Bay votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 26%, modestly below the New York average of 36%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Alexandria Bay runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Alexandria Bay, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Alexandria Bay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Alexandria Bay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Alexandria Bay have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wellesley Island, NY R+12
- Westminster Park, NY R+36
- Plessis, NY R+36
- Redwood, NY R+34
- Fishers Landing, NY R+35
- La Fargeville, NY R+46
- Chippewa Bay, NY R+40
- Orleans Four Corners, NY R+45
- Omar, NY R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pender, NE R+49
- Milan, NH R+37
- Cranesville, PA R+37
- Lyons, OH R+55
- Hartman, AR R+62
- Maple Bluff, WI D+44
- Pine Grove, LA D+4
- East Wakefield, NH R+23
- Vallecito, CO R+5
- Meltonville, MS R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.