Amelia County leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Amelia County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Amelia County, ~23% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Amelia County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Amelia County leans more Republican than 24 of 25 neighbors.
Amelia County runs about 46 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Amelia County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Amelia County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Amelia County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Amelia County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Amelia County votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Amelia County runs about 46 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Amelia County are family households, above 97% of counties.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Amelia County, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Amelia County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 82% of households in Amelia County own their home, about 6 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Nottoway County, VA R+9
- Powhatan County, VA R+38
- Cumberland County, VA R+23
- Chesterfield County, VA D+12
- Prince Edward County, VA D+7
- Goochland County, VA R+21
- Dinwiddie County, VA R+16
- Lunenburg County, VA R+24
- Richmond City, VA D+65
- Henrico County, VA D+31
Counties with Similar Populations
- Calhoun County, MS R+39
- Osage County, MO R+70
- Clay County, IL R+63
- Moffat County, CO R+52
- Jackson County, KS R+45
- Johnson County, IL R+41
- Bamberg County, SC D+18
- Buffalo County, WI R+32
- Mono County, CA D+13
- Crenshaw County, AL R+54
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.