Henrico County leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Henrico County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Henrico County, ~52% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Henrico County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Henrico County leans more Democratic than 25 of 28 neighbors.
Henrico County runs about 25 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Henrico County. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+74) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 76 points.
Why Henrico County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Henrico County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 84% of residents in Henrico County live in densely developed areas, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Henrico County sits in the top quarter (about 47%, above 96% of counties). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Henrico County have never been married, above 81% of counties.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Henrico County, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Henrico County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Henrico County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Richmond City, VA D+65
- Hanover County, VA R+21
- Chesterfield County, VA D+12
- Goochland County, VA R+21
- Powhatan County, VA R+38
- Colonial Heights City, VA R+19
- Hopewell City, VA D+23
- King William County, VA R+38
- New Kent County, VA R+28
- Charles City County, VA D+8
Counties with Similar Populations
- Cumberland County, NC D+20
- Howard County, MD D+40
- Boulder County, CO D+52
- Rockland County, NY R+14
- St. Lucie County, FL R+5
- Weld County, CO R+17
- Spartanburg County, SC R+25
- Rutherford County, TN R+16
- Luzerne County, PA R+14
- Durham County, NC D+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.