Goochland County leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 93% of adults in Goochland County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Goochland County, ~37% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Goochland County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Goochland County leans more Republican than 18 of 27 neighbors.
Goochland County runs about 27 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Goochland County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Goochland County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Goochland County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Goochland County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Goochland County are family households, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Goochland County runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Goochland County, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Goochland County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Goochland County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 86% of households in Goochland County own their home, above 97% of counties. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 95% of adults in Goochland County have completed high school, above 93% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Powhatan County, VA R+38
- Henrico County, VA D+31
- Louisa County, VA R+32
- Hanover County, VA R+21
- Richmond City, VA D+65
- Chesterfield County, VA D+12
- Amelia County, VA R+40
- Cumberland County, VA R+23
- Fluvanna County, VA R+16
- Caroline County, VA R+15
Counties with Similar Populations
- Miller County, MO R+64
- Crook County, OR R+44
- Randolph County, MO R+49
- Cleburne County, AR R+63
- Teller County, CO R+23
- Milam County, TX R+51
- White County, IN R+43
- Yates County, NY R+28
- Jackson County, OK R+48
- Rowan County, KY R+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.