Apache Junction leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Apache Junction typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Apache Junction, ~24% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Apache Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Apache Junction leans more Republican than 17 of 21 neighbors.
Apache Junction runs about 22 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Apache Junction. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Apache Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Apache Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Apache Junction votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 83%, far above the Arizona average of 39%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Apache Junction, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Apache Junction looks the way it does
Turnout in Apache Junction sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Goldfield, AZ R+47
- Gold Canyon, AZ R+30
- Higley, AZ R+17
- Mesa, AZ R+7
- Queen Creek, AZ R+33
- Gilbert, AZ R+12
- San Tan Valley, AZ R+24
- Fort McDowell, AZ D+43
- Fountain Hills, AZ R+21
- Alchesay Flat, AZ D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aspen Hill, MD D+48
- Carmichael, CA D+11
- North Highlands, CA D+7
- West Sacramento, CA D+22
- Montgomery, TX R+54
- Gallatin, TN R+27
- Paramount, CA D+35
- Lancaster, OH R+31
- Texarkana, TX R+17
- Webster, NY D+4
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.