Arbor Lodge is a Democratic stronghold. About 88% of voters here vote Democratic and 12% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Arbor Lodge typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arbor Lodge, ~70% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arbor Lodge compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arbor Lodge leans more Democratic than 13 of 28 neighbors.
Arbor Lodge runs about 61 points more Democratic than Oregon as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Arbor Lodge. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+82) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+64), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Arbor Lodge leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arbor Lodge, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Arbor Lodge live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Arbor Lodge sits in the top quarter (about 62%, above 83% of neighborhoods).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Arbor Lodge, Portland, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Arbor Lodge looks the way it does
Turnout in Arbor Lodge sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Kenton, Portland, OR D+74
- Overlook, Portland, OR D+83
- Woodlawn, Portland, OR D+78
- Boise, Portland, OR D+81
- Portsmouth, Portland, OR D+61
- University Park, Portland, OR D+63
- King, Portland, OR D+82
- Alberta, Portland, OR D+84
- Bridgeton, Portland, OR D+32
- Eliot, Portland, OR D+79
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Belvidere, Lowell, MA D+22
- Black Mountain, Henderson, NV R+4
- Nottingham, Katy, TX R+24
- Belmont, Pueblo, CO D+10
- Natomas Corporate Center, Sacramento, CA D+16
- Buckingham, Arlington, VA D+52
- Home Gardens, Corona, CA D+6
- North Waltham, Waltham, MA D+33
- Central City East, Los Angeles, CA D+41
- Eiber, Lakewood, CO D+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.