Ardenwald leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Ardenwald typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ardenwald, ~53% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ardenwald compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ardenwald leans more Democratic than 11 of 33 neighbors.
Ardenwald runs about 34 points more Democratic than Oregon as a whole.
Why Ardenwald leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ardenwald, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Ardenwald live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Ardenwald, Milwaukie, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Ardenwald looks the way it does
Turnout in Ardenwald sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lewelling, Milwaukie, OR D+39
- Eastmoreland, Portland, OR D+77
- Errol Heights, Portland, OR D+43
- Lake Road, Milwaukie, OR D+40
- Sellwood-Moreland, Portland, OR D+77
- Linwood, Milwaukie, OR D+25
- Woodstock, Portland, OR D+78
- Brentwood-Darlington, Portland, OR D+37
- Reed, Portland, OR D+74
- Southgate, Portland, OR D+20
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Brookside, Findlay, OH R+17
- Coronado, Richmond, CA D+64
- Rockridge, Oakland, CA D+85
- Valley College, San Bernardino, CA D+17
- Downtown Huntsville, Huntsville, AL D+8
- Sunset Heights, Milwaukee, WI D+77
- Center City, Midland, MI D+5
- Highlands, Manchester, NH D+11
- Spring Creek, San Antonio, TX D+2
- The Lanes, Waltham, MA D+29
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.