Arlee leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Arlee typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arlee, ~29% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arlee compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arlee leans more Republican than 3 of 16 neighbors.
Arlee runs about 11 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Arlee. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+22) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Arlee leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Arlee. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Arlee, MT sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Arlee looks the way it does
Turnout in Arlee sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ravalli, MT R+29
- St. Ignatius, MT R+20
- Frenchtown, MT R+35
- Dixon, MT R+35
- Huson, MT R+29
- Charlo, MT R+40
- Moiese, MT R+43
- Missoula, MT D+25
- Orchard Homes, MT D+3
- Stark, MT R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ash Flat, AR R+66
- Delta Junction, AK R+43
- Rangely, CO R+53
- Fries, VA R+64
- Jeffersonville, VT D+5
- Pleasant Hill, OR R+15
- Kyle, SD D+30
- Riverside, IA R+35
- Maplesville, AL R+59
- Carmel, ME R+35
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.