Carmel leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 88% of adults in Carmel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carmel, ~29% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carmel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carmel leans more Republican than 60 of 84 neighbors.
Carmel runs about 42 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Carmel is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Carmel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carmel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carmel votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Carmel runs about 42 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Carmel, ME sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Carmel looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Carmel is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 61%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hermon, ME R+10
- South Levant, ME R+26
- Etna Center, ME R+41
- Etna, ME R+42
- Levant, ME R+30
- Hermon Center, ME R+11
- Dixmont, ME R+34
- West Levant, ME R+31
- Robyville, ME R+32
- Stetson, ME R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Maplesville, AL R+59
- Highland Mills, NY R+12
- Belle Rose, LA D+39
- Center City, MN R+28
- Salisbury Mills, NY R+13
- Zavalla, TX R+82
- Santa Cruz, NM D+25
- Kyle, SD D+30
- Fries, VA R+64
- Riverside, IA R+35
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.