Ash Flat is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Ash Flat typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ash Flat, ~9% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ash Flat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ash Flat leans more Republican than 21 of 54 neighbors.
Ash Flat runs about 35 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Ash Flat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ash Flat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in Ash Flat hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the U.S. average of 28%.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a high non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a lower rate; Ash Flat, AR sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ash Flat looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ash Flat is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Ash Flat have completed high school, below 76% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ballard, AR R+67
- Day, AR R+57
- Cherokee Village, AR R+54
- Stuart, AR R+67
- Myron, AR R+66
- Highland, AR R+60
- Horseshoe Bend, AR R+53
- Saddle, AR R+65
- Glencoe, AR R+64
- Heart, AR R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Arlee, MT R+9
- Delta Junction, AK R+43
- Rangely, CO R+53
- Fries, VA R+64
- Jeffersonville, VT D+5
- Pleasant Hill, OR R+15
- Kyle, SD D+30
- Riverside, IA R+35
- Maplesville, AL R+59
- Carmel, ME R+35
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.