Arnegard is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Arnegard typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arnegard, ~7% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arnegard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arnegard leans more Republican than 1 of 5 neighbors.
Arnegard runs about 40 points more Republican than North Dakota as a whole.
Why Arnegard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arnegard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Arnegard are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Arnegard, ND sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Arnegard looks the way it does
Turnout in Arnegard sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rawson, ND R+83
- Watford City, ND R+69
- Alexander, ND R+82
- Charbonneau, ND R+83
- Cartwright, ND R+83
- Grassy Butte, ND R+76
- Keene, ND R+37
- Trenton, ND R+72
- Williston, ND R+58
- Fairview, ND R+77
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adah, PA R+37
- Toledo, GA R+82
- Larone, ME R+23
- Sarahsville, OH R+65
- Usk, WA R+44
- Cade, LA R+45
- Modoc, IN R+59
- Lake Tapawingo, MO Even
- Wheatland, IN R+63
- Kirkwood, OH R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.