Toledo is a Republican stronghold. About 9% of voters here vote Democratic and 91% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Toledo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Toledo, ~5% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Toledo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Toledo leans more Republican than 12 of 15 neighbors.
Toledo runs about 80 points more Republican than Georgia as a whole.
Why Toledo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Toledo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 95% of residents in Toledo drive to work alone, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Toledo sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 78% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Toledo, GA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Toledo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Toledo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 20% of adults in Toledo report food insecurity, above 81% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Toledo have completed high school, below 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. George, GA R+82
- Stokesville, GA R+86
- Bryceville, FL R+75
- Taylor, FL R+84
- Verdie, FL R+75
- Hilliard, FL R+68
- Glen St. Mary, FL R+73
- Macclenny, FL R+57
- Baldwin, FL R+38
- Sanderson, FL R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Larone, ME R+23
- Sarahsville, OH R+65
- Adah, PA R+37
- Cade, LA R+45
- Arnegard, ND R+76
- Usk, WA R+44
- Johnson Corner, GA R+72
- Orbisonia, PA R+66
- Wadestown, WV R+58
- Modoc, IN R+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Georgia Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.