Arnold Heights is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Arnold Heights typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arnold Heights, ~29% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arnold Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arnold Heights is the most Republican-leaning.
Arnold Heights runs about 16 points more Democratic than Nebraska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Arnold Heights. The north side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Arnold Heights leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Arnold Heights. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Arnold Heights, Lincoln, NE sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Arnold Heights looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 73% of households in Arnold Heights rent, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Downtown Pomona, Pomona, CA D+36
- Westfield, Baltimore, MD D+66
- Downtown Erie, Erie, PA D+36
- Starview, Redding, CA R+27
- Lakeview Terrace, Kansas City, MO D+14
- Heritage District, Gilbert, AZ D+5
- Clanton Park-Roseland, Charlotte, NC D+83
- Crown Meadows, San Antonio, TX D+22
- Hillsmere Shores, Annapolis Neck, MD D+19
- SR Marmon, Albuquerque, NM D+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nebraska Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.