Hillsmere Shores leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Hillsmere Shores typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hillsmere Shores, ~44% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hillsmere Shores compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Hillsmere Shores leans more Democratic than 2 of 3 neighbors.
Hillsmere Shores runs about 9 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Hillsmere Shores. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+26) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Hillsmere Shores leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hillsmere Shores, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in Hillsmere Shores hold a bachelor's degree, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hillsmere Shores, Annapolis Neck, MD sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Hillsmere Shores looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hillsmere Shores is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Selby-on-the-Bay, Mayo, MD R+13
- Downtown Annapolis, Annapolis, MD D+46
- Londontowne, Edgewater, MD Even
- Green Haven, Pasadena, MD R+13
- South Gate, Glen Burnie, MD D+32
- School Gardens, Riviera Beach, MD R+19
- Greater Upper Marlboro, Brock Hall, MD D+81
- Lanham-Seabrook, Lanham, MD D+67
- Goddard, Seabrook, MD D+71
- Pumphrey, Linthicum, MD D+9
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- SR Marmon, Albuquerque, NM D+13
- Heritage District, Gilbert, AZ D+5
- Lakeview Terrace, Kansas City, MO D+14
- Starview, Redding, CA R+27
- Downtown Erie, Erie, PA D+36
- Bellalago, Kissimmee, FL D+9
- River Gardens, Sacramento, CA D+33
- Everroad Park, Columbus, IN R+22
- Buckingham Park, Willingboro, NJ D+78
- Arnold Heights, Lincoln, NE R+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.