Ashburnham is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Ashburnham typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ashburnham, ~43% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ashburnham compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ashburnham sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 56 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 53 leaning the other way.
Ashburnham runs about 25 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while Ashburnham sits closer to the political middle.
Why Ashburnham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ashburnham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ashburnham votes against the grain of Massachusetts. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while Ashburnham runs about 25 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ashburnham, MA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ashburnham looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ashburnham is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Ashburnham own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lane Village, MA Even
- North Ashburnham, MA R+4
- Ashby, MA D+6
- Gardner, MA D+3
- Winchendon, MA R+11
- Westminster, MA Even
- East Rindge, NH R+14
- New Ipswich, NH R+15
- Fitchburg, MA D+15
- East Templeton, MA R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rumford, ME R+22
- Edmonton, KY R+62
- Kayenta, AZ D+49
- Sylvania, GA R+12
- Lawndale, NC R+54
- Mojave, CA R+17
- China Spring, TX R+72
- Hubertus, WI R+35
- Lascassas, TN R+57
- Sterrett, AL R+51
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.