Astoria, Queens, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Astoria

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Astoria leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.

 

About 50% of adults in Astoria typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Astoria, ~35% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Astoria compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Astoria leans more Democratic than 13 of 41 neighbors.

Astoria runs about 28 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Astoria. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+50) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+25), a spread of about 25 points.

Why Astoria leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Astoria, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in Astoria have never been married, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 29%.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Astoria, Queens, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Astoria looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 81% of households in Astoria rent, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 8% of homes in Astoria have more than one occupant per room, above 87% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.