East Elmhurst leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 58% of adults in East Elmhurst typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Elmhurst, ~26% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Elmhurst compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, East Elmhurst leans more Republican than 37 of 40 neighbors.
East Elmhurst runs about 24 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while East Elmhurst is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within East Elmhurst. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+19) and the south side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 19 points.
Why East Elmhurst leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Elmhurst, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
East Elmhurst votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. East Elmhurst runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as East Elmhurst, Queens, NY does.
Why turnout in East Elmhurst looks the way it does
Turnout in East Elmhurst sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Greenwood, Newport News, VA D+38
- South Bay, Eureka, CA D+14
- Five Mile Prairie, Spokane, WA R+13
- Crystal City, Arlington, VA D+59
- Bloomfield, Staten Island, NY R+37
- University Square, Tampa, FL D+36
- Windsor Forest, Savannah, GA D+24
- Bayshore Beautiful, Tampa, FL R+5
- South Park, Buffalo, NY D+7
- Sunrise, San Antonio, TX D+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.