Carnegie Hill, Manhattan, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Carnegie Hill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Carnegie Hill is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.

 

About 69% of adults in Carnegie Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carnegie Hill, ~55% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Carnegie Hill compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Carnegie Hill leans more Democratic than 22 of 38 neighbors.

Carnegie Hill runs about 47 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Carnegie Hill. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+70) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+52), a spread of about 19 points.

Why Carnegie Hill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carnegie Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Carnegie Hill live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Carnegie Hill sits in the top quarter (about 85%, in the top fraction of neighborhoods).

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Carnegie Hill, Manhattan, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Carnegie Hill looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Carnegie Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.