East Harlem is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.
About 43% of adults in East Harlem typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Harlem, ~35% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Harlem compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, East Harlem leans more Democratic than 31 of 41 neighbors.
East Harlem runs about 49 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within East Harlem. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+67) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+57), a spread of about 10 points.
Why East Harlem leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Harlem, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in East Harlem is about 12%, about 60 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 57% of adults in East Harlem have never been married, above 90% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; East Harlem, Manhattan, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in East Harlem looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. East Harlem is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 16 points below the New York average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 91% of households in East Harlem rent, about 66 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 39% of adults in East Harlem report food insecurity, above 92% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Yorkville, Manhattan, NY D+59
- Harlem, Manhattan, NY D+78
- Morningside Heights, Manhattan, NY D+76
- Carnegie Hill, Manhattan, NY D+60
- Mott Haven, Bronx, NY D+47
- Hamilton Heights, Manhattan, NY D+63
- Upper East Side, Manhattan, NY D+56
- Upper West Side, Manhattan, NY D+71
- Astoria, Queens, NY D+41
- Roosevelt Island, Manhattan, NY D+57
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Southwestern Denver, Denver, CO D+32
- Woodside, Queens, NY D+15
- Midtown-Memphis, Memphis, TN D+66
- El Rancho, Pico Rivera, CA D+29
- Williamsbridge, Bronx, NY D+47
- University City, San Diego, CA D+44
- Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+27
- Michael Way, Las Vegas, NV D+22
- Eagle Rock, Los Angeles, CA D+49
- Far Northwest, Fort Worth, TX R+14
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.