Atlantic Beach leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Atlantic Beach typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Atlantic Beach, ~27% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Atlantic Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Atlantic Beach leans more Republican than 3 of 16 neighbors.
Atlantic Beach runs about 4 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Atlantic Beach. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+29) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Atlantic Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Atlantic Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Atlantic Beach votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 69%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Atlantic Beach, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Atlantic Beach looks the way it does
Turnout in Atlantic Beach sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Neptune Beach, FL R+14
- Fort George Island, FL R+41
- Jacksonville Beach, FL R+19
- Palm Valley, FL R+23
- Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Ponte Vedra Beach, FL R+29
- Ponte Vedra, FL R+26
- Sherwood Forest, FL R+27
- Nassau Village, FL R+27
- Fernandina Beach, FL R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shoreview, MN D+30
- Emporia, KS R+5
- Mokena, IL R+17
- Riverbank, CA R+12
- Belmont, MA D+63
- Edgewater, FL R+33
- Stephenville, TX R+45
- Shelbyville, IN R+40
- Harbor City, CA D+27
- Uniontown, PA R+19
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.