Ponte Vedra leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Ponte Vedra typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ponte Vedra, ~34% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ponte Vedra compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ponte Vedra leans more Republican than 12 of 34 neighbors.
Ponte Vedra runs about 13 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ponte Vedra. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+29) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Ponte Vedra leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ponte Vedra, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ponte Vedra votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 30%, well below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Ponte Vedra are family households, above 94% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ponte Vedra, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Ponte Vedra looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ponte Vedra is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Ponte Vedra have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ponte Vedra Beach, FL R+29
- Sherwood Forest, FL R+27
- South Ponte Vedra Beach, FL R+32
- Palm Valley, FL R+23
- Vilano Beach, FL R+27
- World Golf Village, FL R+31
- Fruit Cove, FL R+30
- St. Augustine, FL R+21
- Jacksonville Beach, FL R+19
- Magnolia Springs, FL R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Landover, MD D+78
- South Elgin, IL D+4
- Auburn Hills, MI D+23
- Silver Bell, AZ R+6
- Ronkonkoma, NY R+26
- Alice, TX R+4
- Farmington, UT R+26
- Bay Point, CA D+37
- Dickson, TN R+51
- Hopewell Junction, NY R+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.