Fernandina Beach leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 94% of adults in Fernandina Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fernandina Beach, ~31% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fernandina Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fernandina Beach leans more Republican than 6 of 17 neighbors.
Fernandina Beach runs about 20 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fernandina Beach. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+49), a spread of about 52 points.
Why Fernandina Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fernandina Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fernandina Beach votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 50%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Fernandina Beach, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Fernandina Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fernandina Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Fernandina Beach have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nassau Village, FL R+27
- Yulee, FL R+47
- Gross, FL R+47
- Hero, FL R+50
- St. Marys, GA R+34
- Kings Bay, GA R+47
- Fort George Island, FL R+41
- Kingsland, GA R+30
- Harrietts Bluff, GA R+48
- Atlantic Beach, FL R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carpentersville, IL D+17
- La Quinta, CA Even
- Cottage Grove, MN D+7
- Flowery Branch, GA R+40
- Newburgh, IN R+26
- East Meadow, NY R+9
- Sewell, NJ R+9
- Salem, VA R+25
- Lake Orion, MI R+5
- Gurnee, IL D+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.