Ponte Vedra Beach leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Ponte Vedra Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ponte Vedra Beach, ~32% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ponte Vedra Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ponte Vedra Beach leans more Republican than 16 of 30 neighbors.
Ponte Vedra Beach runs about 16 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ponte Vedra Beach. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Ponte Vedra Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ponte Vedra Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ponte Vedra Beach votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 50%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Ponte Vedra Beach, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ponte Vedra Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ponte Vedra Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Ponte Vedra Beach have completed high school, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ponte Vedra, FL R+26
- South Ponte Vedra Beach, FL R+32
- Sherwood Forest, FL R+27
- Palm Valley, FL R+23
- Vilano Beach, FL R+27
- Jacksonville Beach, FL R+19
- World Golf Village, FL R+31
- St. Augustine, FL R+21
- Fruit Cove, FL R+30
- Neptune Beach, FL R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Skiatook, OK R+54
- New Kingman-Butler, AZ R+36
- Mabank, TX R+65
- Mount Vernon, VA D+36
- Benton, LA R+58
- Forestville, MD D+82
- Little Falls, NJ Even
- Melvindale, MI Even
- Farmville, VA D+14
- La Vernia, TX R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.