Fort George Island leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Fort George Island typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fort George Island, ~23% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fort George Island compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fort George Island leans more Republican than 13 of 17 neighbors.
Fort George Island runs about 28 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Fort George Island leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fort George Island, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in Fort George Island are family households, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Fort George Island, FL does.
Why turnout in Fort George Island looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fort George Island is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 60%, below 56% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Fort George Island own their home, compared to around 77% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Fort George Island have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Atlantic Beach, FL R+17
- Neptune Beach, FL R+14
- Jacksonville Beach, FL R+19
- Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Palm Valley, FL R+23
- Nassau Village, FL R+27
- Fernandina Beach, FL R+33
- Yulee, FL R+47
- Ponte Vedra Beach, FL R+29
- Hero, FL R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cressey, CA R+40
- McCance, OH R+67
- Osage, OK R+68
- Harmony Corners, NY R+14
- New Salem, TX R+75
- Peters, MI R+47
- Edelstein, IL R+33
- Edwina, TN R+70
- Maxdale, TX R+30
- St. Donatus, IA R+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.