Ava is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Ava typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ava, ~13% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ava compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ava leans more Republican than 57 of 79 neighbors.
Ava runs about 71 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Ava is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Ava leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ava, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Ava, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Illinois average of 27%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Ava are family households, above 85% of cities. Ava runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ava, IL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ava looks the way it does
Turnout in Ava sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Campbell Hill, IL R+60
- Glenn, IL R+52
- Denmark, IL R+60
- Vergennes, IL R+60
- Shiloh Hill, IL R+60
- Willisville, IL R+52
- Harrison, IL R+44
- Oraville, IL R+34
- Jacob, IL R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Williams, IN R+61
- Camden, IN R+60
- Lohman, MO R+47
- Fosters, MI R+32
- Paris, VA R+14
- Metamora, IN R+69
- Clarendon, AR R+52
- Inwood, IA R+69
- Potter Valley, CA Even
- Shaftsburg, MI R+20
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.