Baldwin City leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Baldwin City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baldwin City, ~29% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baldwin City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baldwin City leans more Republican than 4 of 45 neighbors.
Politically, Baldwin City sits close to the rest of Kansas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Baldwin City. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+29) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Baldwin City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baldwin City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Baldwin City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 33%, modestly above the Kansas average of 19%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Baldwin City, KS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Baldwin City looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Baldwin City is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Baldwin City have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Black Jack, KS R+25
- Vinland, KS R+20
- Clearfield, KS R+35
- Worden, KS R+17
- Wellsville, KS R+45
- Edgerton, KS R+31
- Hesper, KS R+37
- Peoria, KS R+51
- Eudora, KS R+22
- Lawrence, KS D+45
Cities with Similar Populations
- Basalt, CO D+22
- Osceola, IA R+35
- York Haven, PA R+39
- Cheverly, MD D+72
- Perham, MN R+39
- Sparks Glencoe, MD D+3
- Iola, KS R+42
- Vidalia, LA R+50
- Pine Brook, NJ Even
- Carolina Beach, NC R+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.