Baldwin leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Baldwin typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baldwin, ~36% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baldwin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baldwin leans more Democratic than 30 of 31 neighbors.
Baldwin runs about 35 points more Democratic than Louisiana as a whole. Louisiana leans Republican overall, while Baldwin is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Baldwin. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+78) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 106 points.
Why Baldwin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baldwin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Baldwin is about 21%, about 51 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Baldwin have never been married, above 98% of cities. Baldwin runs against the grain of Louisiana, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Baldwin, LA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Baldwin looks the way it does
Turnout in Baldwin sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Charenton, LA R+38
- Franklin, LA D+6
- Sorrel, LA Even
- Glencoe, LA Even
- Garden City, LA Even
- Jeanerette, LA D+15
- Hubertville, LA R+32
- Bayou Sale, LA Even
- Centerville, LA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rouses Point, NY R+13
- Aulander, NC D+6
- Bradford, VT Even
- Slayton, MN R+51
- Ronda, NC R+66
- Strafford, NH R+18
- Bedias, TX R+67
- Chester, CA R+19
- Dane, WI R+9
- Mize, MS R+76
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.