Bancroft is a Democratic stronghold. About 88% of voters here vote Democratic and 12% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Bancroft typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bancroft, ~72% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bancroft compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bancroft leans more Democratic than 50 of 55 neighbors.
Bancroft runs about 72 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bancroft. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+83) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+71), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Bancroft leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bancroft, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Bancroft live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Bancroft sits in the top quarter (about 59%, above 80% of neighborhoods). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 55% of adults in Bancroft have never been married, above 88% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bancroft, Minneapolis, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bancroft looks the way it does
Turnout in Bancroft sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Northrup, Minneapolis, MN D+77
- Powderhorn Park, Minneapolis, MN D+73
- Standish, Minneapolis, MN D+76
- Minnehaha, Minneapolis, MN D+63
- Central, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Corcoran, Minneapolis, MN D+78
- Kingfield, Minneapolis, MN D+82
- Ericsson, Minneapolis, MN D+69
- Hale, Minneapolis, MN D+76
- Lyndale, Minneapolis, MN D+71
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- East Topeka, Topeka, KS D+25
- Downtown North San Jose, Palo Alto, CA D+64
- Crestline, Birmingham, AL Even
- Broadview Park, South Portland, ME D+27
- Skyland, Denver, CO D+75
- Richmond Grove, Sacramento, CA D+66
- Lake Hollingsworth, Lakeland, FL R+19
- Paradise Park, Savannah, GA D+29
- Valley Adams, Santa Ana, CA D+23
- Bryan Downtown Historic District, Bryan, OH R+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.