Bapchule leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 32% of adults in Bapchule typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bapchule, ~21% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bapchule compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bapchule leans more Democratic than 19 of 31 neighbors.
Bapchule runs about 35 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Bapchule is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bapchule. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+57) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 89 points.
Why Bapchule leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bapchule, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in Bapchule have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 27%). Bapchule runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bapchule, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bapchule looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bapchule is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 14 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 40% of households in Bapchule rent, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 40% of adults in Bapchule report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stotonic Village, AZ D+55
- Santan, AZ D+56
- Wet Camp Village, AZ D+56
- Casa Blanca, AZ D+56
- Sacaton, AZ D+50
- Sun Lakes, AZ R+11
- Chandler Heights, AZ R+20
- Sacaton Flats, AZ D+63
- Chandler, AZ D+5
- Gilbert, AZ R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Paris, MO R+54
- Stonewood, WV R+40
- Marion, WI R+49
- Herminie, PA R+44
- Boyce, VA R+18
- Avis, PA R+47
- Kinsey, AL Even
- Humansville, MO R+67
- Allenton, WI R+50
- Fairlea, WV R+30
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.