Casa Blanca is a Democratic stronghold. About 78% of voters here vote Democratic and 22% Republican.
About 30% of adults in Casa Blanca typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Casa Blanca, ~23% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~70% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Casa Blanca compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Casa Blanca leans more Democratic than 22 of 27 neighbors.
Casa Blanca runs about 61 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Casa Blanca is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Casa Blanca. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+60) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 69 points.
Why Casa Blanca leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Casa Blanca, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Casa Blanca votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Casa Blanca runs about 61 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 62% of adults in Casa Blanca have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Casa Blanca, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Casa Blanca looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Casa Blanca is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 35%, about 19 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 46% of households in Casa Blanca rent, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 48% of adults in Casa Blanca report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wet Camp Village, AZ D+56
- Santan, AZ D+56
- Bapchule, AZ D+30
- Stotonic Village, AZ D+55
- Sun Lakes, AZ R+11
- Silver Bell, AZ R+6
- Sacaton, AZ D+50
- Maricopa, AZ R+9
- Chandler, AZ D+5
- Sacate, AZ D+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Webb, MS D+56
- Altaville, CA R+21
- Pansey, AL R+32
- Mount Pleasant, NY R+33
- Summerhill, NY R+37
- Liberty, ME R+13
- Mantua Corners, OH R+40
- Brays, VA Even
- Christie, OK R+67
- Montrose, WV R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.