Barley leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Barley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Barley, ~27% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Barley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Barley leans more Republican than 59 of 63 neighbors.
Barley runs about 31 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Barley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Barley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Barley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Barley live in densely developed areas, about 22 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Barley runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Barley, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Barley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Barley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gaston, NC D+23
- Triplet, VA D+9
- Brink, VA D+12
- Skippers, VA R+6
- Valentines, VA R+20
- Fitzhugh, VA D+20
- Roanoke Rapids, NC D+4
- Washington Park, VA D+13
- Henrico, NC R+14
- Garysburg, NC D+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Canada, KS R+54
- St. Clair, AL R+38
- Endeavor, PA R+42
- Leggett, TX R+60
- Lentner, MO R+70
- Gray Horse, OK R+62
- Cherry Valley, RI R+24
- Emblem, WY R+80
- Tallmansville, WV R+69
- Greenleaf, OR R+17
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.