Bastrop Beach leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Bastrop Beach typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bastrop Beach, ~13% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bastrop Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bastrop Beach leans more Republican than 14 of 31 neighbors.
Bastrop Beach runs about 35 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bastrop Beach. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Bastrop Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bastrop Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Bastrop Beach drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Bastrop Beach are family households, above 84% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bastrop Beach, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bastrop Beach looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bastrop Beach is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Richwood, TX R+34
- Angleton, TX R+31
- Clute, TX R+19
- Lake Jackson, TX R+36
- Danbury, TX R+70
- Baileys Prairie, TX R+55
- Oyster Creek, TX R+58
- Bonney, TX R+53
- Freeport, TX R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Greenview, CA R+33
- Harrisville, VT D+38
- Liberty, MI R+33
- Hildale, UT R+63
- Magnolia Springs, AL R+70
- Monterey, IN R+53
- Trexlertown, PA D+3
- Millersburg, MI R+39
- Bee Branch, AR R+69
- Cobb, WI R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.