Baileys Prairie is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Baileys Prairie typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baileys Prairie, ~16% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baileys Prairie compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baileys Prairie leans more Republican than 28 of 41 neighbors.
Baileys Prairie runs about 41 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Baileys Prairie. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Baileys Prairie leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baileys Prairie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Baileys Prairie drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a low adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Baileys Prairie, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Baileys Prairie looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Baileys Prairie is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Holiday Lakes, TX R+36
- Angleton, TX R+31
- Bonney, TX R+53
- Bastrop Beach, TX R+49
- Richwood, TX R+34
- West Columbia, TX R+49
- Lake Jackson, TX R+36
- Brazoria, TX R+51
- Old Brazoria, TX R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oakland, OK R+41
- Pine Park, GA R+44
- Kingston, ID R+49
- McGill, NV R+57
- Prue, OK R+64
- Cedar Bluffs, NE R+47
- Red Bank, CA R+47
- Wilson, KS R+66
- Paw Paw, WV R+56
- Pawnee City, NE R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.