Bates City is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Bates City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bates City, ~17% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bates City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bates City leans more Republican than 35 of 54 neighbors.
Bates City runs about 39 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Bates City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bates City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 82% of households in Bates City are family households, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bates City, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in Bates City looks the way it does
Turnout in Bates City sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sni Mills, MO R+55
- Chapel Hill, MO R+57
- Oak Grove, MO R+40
- Lake Lafayette, MO R+61
- Odessa, MO R+50
- Lone Jack, MO R+48
- Pittsville, MO R+60
- Tarsney Lakes, MO R+43
- Grain Valley, MO R+26
- Napoleon, MO R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clearfield, KY R+41
- Moorcroft, WY R+82
- Florala, AL R+61
- Crothersville, IN R+58
- Monroe, OR R+18
- Fleetwood, NC R+36
- Fillmore, UT R+65
- Thetford Center, MI R+34
- Warner, NH Even
- Talala, OK R+63
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.