Lake Lafayette is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Lake Lafayette typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Lafayette, ~16% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Lafayette compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Lafayette leans more Republican than 45 of 58 neighbors.
Lake Lafayette runs about 42 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Lake Lafayette leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Lafayette, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Lake Lafayette drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Lake Lafayette sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 90% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Lake Lafayette are family households, above 95% of cities.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lake Lafayette, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lake Lafayette looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 99% of households in Lake Lafayette own their home, about 21 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Odessa, MO R+50
- Bates City, MO R+58
- Chapel Hill, MO R+57
- Pittsville, MO R+60
- Columbus, MO R+60
- Sni Mills, MO R+55
- Mayview, MO R+59
- Oak Grove, MO R+40
- Lone Jack, MO R+48
- Kingsville, MO R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fourche, AR R+57
- Topaz Lake, NV R+46
- Hollis Crossroads, AL R+81
- Java, SD R+78
- Hubbard Junction, VA R+71
- Whittier, IA R+29
- Pleasant Grove, TN R+71
- Pleasant Valley, WA R+25
- Clarence, IL R+60
- Pogy, MI R+44
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.