Bear Lake is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Bear Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bear Lake, ~14% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bear Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bear Lake leans more Republican than 89 of 90 neighbors.
Bear Lake runs about 60 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Bear Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bear Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in Bear Lake hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Bear Lake, PA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Bear Lake looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Bear Lake own their home, about 15 points above the Pennsylvania average of 79%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lottsville, PA R+62
- Pine Valley, PA R+58
- Watts Flats, NY R+40
- Spring Creek, PA R+57
- Columbus, PA R+57
- Panama, NY R+45
- Sugar Grove, PA R+55
- Pittsfield, PA R+55
- Colza, PA R+53
- Chandlers Valley, PA R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Winchester, MS R+19
- Pelkie, MI R+23
- Loch Lynn Heights, MD R+66
- White Sulphur, KY R+37
- Wilford, ID R+72
- Emerald Beach, MO R+59
- Excello, MO R+69
- Wheeling, MO R+69
- Orleans, CA D+22
- Kanosh, UT R+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.